Showing posts with label foreclosure. Show all posts
Showing posts with label foreclosure. Show all posts

Thursday, September 15, 2011

foreclosure investing


INVEST 2010 in Stuttgart, Germany by Commerce Resources Corp. (TSXv: CCE)


You've undoubtedly seen all of them or study them. Glossy adverts or four-color propagates in periodicals and newspapers promising to instruct you all of the juicy details about successful real estate investing. And all you have to do to learn every one of these real est investing surface encounters chuck russo secrets is to pay a rather high sum for a one-or two-day seminar.




Often these slick real estate investing seminars claim that you could make wise, profitable real-estate investments with zero money down (other than, of course, the hefty fee you pay for the class). Now, how attractive is in which? Make a profit from real est investments you made out of no money. Possible? Not likely.




Successful real estate investment requires cashflow. That's the type of any type of business or investment, especially property investing. You put your money into something which you hope and plan is likely to make you additional money.




Unfortunately too little newbies to the world of property investing think that it's a magical kind of business where standard enterprise rules will not apply. Simply set, if you want to stay in real estate investing for greater than, say, a day time or two, then you're going to have to come up with money to use and commit.




While it might be true in which buying property with simply no money down is easy, anyone that is even made a simple real estate investment (like buying their particular home) is aware there's much more involved in property investing that can cost you money. For instance, what about any essential repairs?




So, the number one rule people a new comer to real est investing must remember is always to have available cash supplies. Before you determine to actually perform any real-estate investing, save some cash. Having just a little money in the bank when you begin real estate investing surface encounters chuck russo can help you make more profitable real estate investments in rental properties, for example.




When real-estate investing within rental properties, you'll want to be able to select just qualified tenants. If you've no income when property investing in rental attributes, you may be pressured experience a a smaller amount qualified tenant since you need somebody to pay for you money so that you can take attention of repairs or attorney at law fees.




For any type of real est investing, meaning rental properties or even properties you buy to sell, having funds reserved can enable you to ask for a higher price. You can require a increased price out of your real estate investment because a person surface encounters chuck russo won't feel financially strapped as you wait for an offer. You won't be backed into a corner and forced to accept just any offer because you desperately need the money.




Another downfall of several new to real-estate investing will be, well, greed. Make a profit, yes, but will not become so greedy that you ask for ridiculous rental or resell rates on many real property investments.




Those a new comer to real estate investing need to see real-estate investing like a business, NOT a spare time activity. Don't believe real est investing is going to make you wealthy overnight. What business does?




It will take about half a year to decide if real-estate investing in for you. If you might have decided that, hey I really like this, then provide yourself a few years to really start earning profits. It often takes at least five years to get truly successful in real estate investing.




Persistence may be the key to success in real-estate investing. If you've decided that property investing is made for you, surface encounters chuck russo keep plugging away at it and the rewards will be greater than you imagined.












(h/t Heather at VideoCafe)


It is a truism rarely acknowledged in this country: the single most important infrastructure investment we can make for the future is in education. I'm not talking about retrofitting the buildings or constructing more classrooms. No, we provide for the future by educating our young people, preparing them to become productive members of society. Study after study shows that the higher one's education level is, the higher the median income and the less likely one is to suffer unemployment.


But we're not doing that. No, in these austerity times, politicians clamor to cut services and jobs. Teachers are demonized. Vouchers are touted as the answer, when it's simply a way to privatize profits away from public schools. Hell, some GOP would be happy if we eliminate the Department of Education altogether.


A rare and welcome progressive appearance on the Sunday shows, Rep. Maxine Waters bemoans the disconnect between what politicians say we need to focus on and what they're really doing about it:


To tell you the truth, the plight of education in this country is shameful. Just a few days ago I learned that more cities, more states are reducing the number of education days down to four instead of five. And I could not help but stop and think, "Is this America? Is this the country that said and continues to say that education is a top priority?" Why are we not investing more in education? Why do we have dropouts? Why do we have educational systems that are failing? Why is it that we have a situation where many of our young people will not be able to compete in this high technological society because they're not properly educated? And so, no, we do pay lip service to education. We don't really invest in it, and that's got to change. But let me just say this, Americans want to work. This joblessness is not only hitting the middle class, but it is hitting all classes. It is absolutely unconscionable what is happening in the minority communities. When we look at this no jobs haven't been created in August and we find in the African-American community it has increased from 16 percent, 15.9, 16 percent, up now 16.7 percent, and now we're going to talk about cutting government by $1.5 trillion, this new 12 committee membership that we have after the raising the debt ceiling debate? And that means that we're going to lose more jobs, that means more people are going to be unemployed. The African-American rate will probably go up to about 20 percent. I don't know how our country can sustain that kind of...


Of course, David Gregory interrupts her at this point, because Lord know, the plight of the African American community doesn't concern him. But then again, he has the gall to say that we only play lip service to the importance of education. You know, the same guy who only pays lip service to journalism and who spent the better part of the last two years telling his viewers that Americans cared about the deficit when poll after poll proved him a lying hack with a corporate agenda.




D I V O R C E the Fed.


Now. Uncontested. Just cut the ties that bind us to the slavery.


 



but then the idiots in congress, and the "Current Resident" on 1600 Penn Ave, would have full control, in which case, the skids would be greased even more. Well, that might not be entirely true, since most of those bastards are nothing but mere marionettes, with their strings being yanked at every move, by the likes of soros et al, you know the ones ...."new world order" lovers who are aiding in the dismantling of the once Great US, and serving it piece by piece to china, however, the same zealous ideologues and true enemies of the US, fail to notice that that marvel called EU is crapping out, approaching the full blow-out point, at which time most of their 'contents' gleefully ingested as ingredients of the delicious EU, will be excreted, and when the end result will hit the proverbial fan .... duck and cover.


Unfortunately, what Gross has become is a splendid specimen of the 'grownup hippies' who in the 60's and 70s were raising hell, in the name of a better America, while now, a decent number of them, to varying degrees, having become 'fat cats', forgot how they were able to amass their fortunes, and instead of uniting and contributing however possible to returning the country on the path to prosperity, are now, continuing to chase an easy buck, by financing our adversaries, and most likely our enemies, based on their propaganda they already consider us their enemy - all to the detriment of the quality of life during the 'golden years' for some of us, as well as the quality of life (or lack thereof) for our children and future generations.


Once Heli-Ben got rates to 4% yet the economy continued its tanking trajectory, the politicians should have pulled their heads out of their asses, and begin serious work on policy intervention aimed entirely at rebuilding the domestic manufacturing base, which is all but gone, as well as ensuring that any fed provided liquidity remains 100% - or close to it - in the US.


Given the facts revealed by the Bloomberg recently released Fed back-door loans, makes me wonder if Uncle Ben himself is not among the facilitators of the "new world order"?!


So me thinks anyway.


Duck 'n cover everyone.



Thursday, September 9, 2010

foreclosure sales





43 Responses to “Letting the Housing Market Fall”







  1. David Merkel Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 9:54 am

    Way cool. Let the markets revert to levels that the cash flows can sustain, with modest leverage.








  2. Barry Ritholtz Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 10:14 am

    Exactly


    Ivy Zelman doesn’t quite make her case with this quote: “We have had enough artificial support and need to let the free market do its thing.” but the concept is correct


    Its obvious (to me anyway) that propping up the housing market is counter productive . . .








  3. dead hobo Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 10:26 am

    Yes, but here’s the problem with that idea.


    The Fed wants to maintain a 2% level of general inflation. The Fed believes that all falling prices are deflation, while the rest of us see it as prices normalizing to pre-bubble and pre-inflation levels. By definition, this repudiates the Fed’s most sacred belief and they probably look at accepting the concept of price recovery as an admission of their own personal incompetence.Thus, normal economics and a normal recovery is 180 degrees apart from the Fed’s goals if you measure their goals by their actions.


    Allowing prices to seek an appropriate level based on consumer supply and demand will not be allowed by the Fed because they define that as deflation. By trying to keep inflation as the normal state, they are prolonging the recession. Wages are falling. More and more are unable to afford to live in the Fed’s price manipulated world.


    The Fed helped create this problem over the last 20 years via the sweet smell of inflation making everyone more wealthy by expanding credit. When the value of assets that secure the credit fall, then demand for new credit falls. Had the Fed not inflated those assets a little at a time for a couple of decades, there probably would not be a bubble to have burst in 2000 or 2007. Just as Obama’s housing initiatives pulled housing demand forward a few months to get the tax credit, the Fed did the same for the demand for all assets, but more slowly for over a much longer time period. The after effect for both is the same. Lowering prices and less demand until prices fall.


    The Fed will, of course,never admit a failure in long term policy and will try to blow the bubble back up. This will keep prices from resetting and prolong the recession.








  4. franklin411 Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 10:32 am

    This column reminds me of another great prognosticator who put his faith in a magic army of buyers to suddenly materialize and save the nation, Andrew Mellon. Herbert Hoover and the Republican Congress followed his advice in 1929 to “liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate.” The theory was that if prices fell, buyers…from somewhere…would come in and pick up what was left.


    Hmm…how did that work out for us?








  5. jjay Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 10:37 am

    The message in that article is correct.

    The messenger (New York Times) gives me pause.

    Every thinking person knew the housing market was rigged to go ballistic from the start.

    The Government heaped $200,000 tax free capital gains on top of ZIRP, on top of NINJA loans and cheer leading by Greenspan and Bush.

    The NYT and others of their ilk saw nothing wrong with any of that.

    Greenspan was “The Maestro”, America was “a job creating machine”

    That they would change their tune now is to me ominous.

    It looks like a trial balloon, to let the proles know that TBTB are considering pulling the plug on the housing market at long last.

    Along with Biden’s and other establishment types saying 30 years of lost jobs “are not coming back”

    it’s clear to me they are now saying, “You are now a denizen of a Third World Country, get used to it”

    The stimulus fraud is at an end after this Novembers election.








  6. dead hobo Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 10:44 am

    franklin411 Says:

    September 6th, 2010 at 10:32 am


    Andrew Mellon. Herbert Hoover and the Republican Congress followed his advice in 1929 to “liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate.” The theory was that if prices fell, buyers…from somewhere…would come in and pick up what was left.


    Hmm…how did that work out for us?


    reply:

    ———–

    Well, the Depression is over so it must have eventually worked. Wars are traditionally a great way to inflate demand and get people back to work. WWII helped here. Eliminating the gold standard, or more precisely, allowing the Fed to print at will helped fix it, but eventually got out of control and helped create a new bubble problem because they really didn’t know what they were doing.


    Also, why wouldn’t you liquidate assets that you don’t need and can’t pay for? Everything is owned by someone. Always. There’s always a price low enough. Someone always gets left holding the bill. Today, the preference is to let Uncle Stupid pay for it somehow and/or ask the Fed and Uncle Stupid to prop up the price long enough to find a greater fool.








  7. philipat Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 10:53 am

    What goes up, must come down?


    Why play with the laws of physics?








  8. dead hobo Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 10:57 am

    Barry Ritholtz Says:

    September 6th, 2010 at 10:14 am


    Its obvious (to me anyway) that propping up the housing market is counter productive . . .


    reply:

    ———-

    Yes, but I think they do this with all assets, including the stock market, in order to keep the pump primed, validate their past inflationary exercises, and try to keep value in a market that people trusted with their savings as honestly priced. A Fed audit will prove or disprove my assertion about Fed stock market manipulations. I know there has been a multitude of denials from them about this, but their credibility is low because their competence is low.








  9. RW Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 10:58 am

    The inventory overhang in housing supply is gargantuan and neither lower prices nor lower interest rates will entice buyers who not only have no need to buy but valid reason to believe that prices could fall even further.


    Generals always fight the last war and supply-side thinking can only lead to nonsense when the problem is lack of demand.


    My 2007 RE shorts were highly profitable and, given how far we have already fallen, I do not anticipate duplicating that resounding success but I will almost certainly re-initiate some positions among the remaining RE survivors if the proposed liquidation program goes forward.








  10. whskyjack Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:01 am

    Different parts of the country have different housing issues. For most of us, just get the economy moving and housing will take care of itself. Those folks who foolishly bought into the California market at it’s high or the Florida market, they are in for a long time of pain as they wait for their property to appeciate. But it was a choice for them, nobody forced them to take on the debt. There are a large number of us that opted to stay in our older house or rent and not take on the debt.

    For me The tax breaks let me sell my fatherinlaws house and I’m buying property for rentals. I just need for the housing market to recover and stabilise . Maybe in 15 years it will form another bubble and I can dump it on some enthusiastic youngster and retire to the islands.


    Jack








  11. vader Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:04 am

    The other issue is that as assets fall in value what does buyers have to buy with? Even cash holders can be threatened as banks fail because their assets decline in value. A big enough crash and even cash owners will feel so threatened as to put off buying either in fear of assets keeping declining in value or fear of the future in general.








  12. whskyjack Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:09 am

    Vader


    I haven’t found money to be a problem even at the depth of the panic we found money available. It nodoubt helps to be credit worthy








  13. louis Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:09 am

    More lipstick for the pig starting Tuesday.


    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704323704575461920164400014.html?mod=WSJ_WSJ_US_News_5








  14. RandyClayton Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:15 am

    So, how much farther does the Case-Shiller index need to fall before houses have returned to an equilibrium level?








  15. Steve Barry Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:17 am

    “Its not a crash that is needed — it is merely allowing prices to revert to their historic levels.”


    Be more specific…any historic level over the last 20 years or more is distorted by an over-arching credit mania and sub-bubbles in stocks and housing itself.


    We rally need the credit bubble to revert to 1950 levels and then see where housing shakes out. otherwise you are treating one tumor and not the whole cancer.








  16. DrungoHazewood Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:31 am

    I own quite a bit of real estate, and I say let it go. The stuff is practically worthless anyway as there are no buyers. None.








  17. franklin411 Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:41 am

    @Hobo:

    Well, something did happen between 1929 and 1939 that changed the course of events. The New Deal generation was mature enough to recognize that: “our distress comes from no failure of substance. We are stricken by no plague of locusts. Compared with the perils which our forefathers conquered because they believed and were not afraid, we have still much to be thankful for. Nature still offers her bounty and human efforts have multiplied it. Plenty is at our doorstep, but a generous use of it languishes in the very sight of the supply. Primarily this is because the rulers of the exchange of mankind’s goods have failed, through their own stubbornness and their own incompetence, have admitted their failure, and abdicated. Practices of the unscrupulous money changers stand indicted in the court of public opinion, rejected by the hearts and minds of men.” – - FDR’s Inaugural, 1933


    As Eugene Robinson points out in the Washington Post, we’re made of weaker stuff these days. I take it a step further and point to the Baby Boomers as the reason for America’s decline. We have never had a weaker, more selfish, and most spoiled generation in American history.


    When the last Baby Boomer dies, this country will be great once again.


    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/09/02/AR2010090203992.html?nav=emailpage








  18. JustinTheSkeptic Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:47 am

    Supporting prices has never worked we all no this. Can anyone give an example of when it has?








  19. franklin411 Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:54 am

    @Justin

    Easy. Just look to American history.


    We used to have farm depressions every decade or so beginning in the 1870s. The worst farm depression in American history began in the 1920s, and it lasted until the New Deal. FDR instituted a program of price supports to stabilize the cycle of farm boom and bust, and we’ve been sticking to that program ever since.


    The result?


    We haven’t had a farm depression since then, and food is cheaper, more plentiful, and safer than at any point in human history.


    Easy.








  20. louis Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 12:14 pm

    The problem is with the “banksters” and their minions.








  21. krice2001 Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 12:17 pm

    On the topic of Letting The Housing Market Fall – there’s the issue of politics as always. Which administration is prepared to allow or could survive letting most American’s largest asset fall precipitously (further) and expect not to suffer further politcal consequences. It’s not as it the Republicans will back off seeing the President take an approach that many of us believe is correct and necessary. He would be far worse off. There’s no way they don’t know that.


    While many claim to be frustrated by the bailing out of those who in many cases got themselves into trouble and lament “failed” stimulus, I suspect many of those would be more angry when the value of their home and largest asset tumbles yet another 15%-20%. We’re hypocritical that way, weakening the political resolve of our elected officials to do the right thing. (It seems hard enough for them anyway).








  22. algernon Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 12:19 pm

    The solution to a bust is allowing prices to adjust. All the stimulus–the gov’t bureaucrats attempting to manipulate “aggregate demand”– can’t solve the problem of incorrect relative prices.








  23. maspablo Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 12:31 pm

    The way i see it we have 3 scenarios ( as barry n others have said)

    1) keep on artificially inflating and supporting , try to bring hyperinflation t0 value of homes above purchase costs .( but $ dollar is worthless and creates bigger problems )

    2) keep on supporting and inflating and prices zig zag/flat , not dropping enough to get people who will service the debt and clear the overhang . also prices take at least 10 years to appreciate , souring the American dream

    3) withdrawal support , prices fall , interest rates rise , prices fall more .. pissing off millions crushing American dream , but Debt load will be eventually be serviced


    But , instead of choosing among these scenarios , were going to start with the first , fail go to 2nd fail , then end up with the 3 rd scenario . were going to extend our housing bust into as long as the housing boom, 15 years.


    The main reason is a higher % of homeowers and owners vote and politicians have to answer to them. Try repealing Prop 13 in CA or homestead in FL . it wont happen








  24. Mark E Hoffer Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 12:39 pm

    “…The result?


    We haven’t had a farm depression since then, and food is cheaper, more plentiful, and safer than at any point in human history.


    Easy.”–f411, above


    f., young chap, take a peek at http://www.organicconsumers.org/2006/log.cfm

    http://www.organicconsumers.org/index.htm

    & http://jeffreydach.com/2008/08/14/genetically-modified-gmo-food-the-great-scandal-by-jeffrey-dach-md.aspx


    the, only, reasonable explaination for your Statement, above, is that you’re long Agri-Tech-, and the ‘Health-Care’-, ICs, or, more simply, you’ve been ‘-washed’ ..








  25. DL Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 12:39 pm

    And what about Fannie/Freddie? Shouldn’t we stop putting government money into those entities; should the U.S. government stop guaranteeing their debt?


    There’s also the issue of “QE” by the Fed. Should they buy more mortgage-backed securities? Treasury bonds?


    I agree that the government should stop pouring money into housing. I also think that, at some point, they should also end the mortgage interest deduction (although not right now).








  26. drey Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 1:39 pm

    “Its not a crash that is needed — it is merely allowing prices to revert to their historic levels.”


    Historic meaning that we have seen the same circumstances before? WTH would be a ‘historic’ level?


    Better to simply say prices should be allowed to find their own equilibrium without govt interference.








  27. whskyjack Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 3:19 pm

    “We haven’t had a farm depression since then”

    Well, it depends what you definition of a depression is. The 1980′s were close enough as the farmers saw the same real estate bubble bursting as home owners have recently, The government also played an important role in the bubble by supplying easy credit for farmers to expand.

    Having been through that real estate bubble probably helped me avoid the recent one.

    Jack








  28. S Brennan Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 3:59 pm

    The bottom will be reached when those who have been impoverished by lack of income return to work.


    A lot of working class people would be smart enough to not sell at the “near bottom” if they had options that a real paycheck gives them…they’re just not smart enough to revolt in an organized way, petty vengeance yes.








  29. Marc P Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 7:43 pm

    Seems to me that we know we’ve hit bottom in real estate as soon as the TBTF speculators start investing in it. Since that hasn’t happened, and since they effectively now control U.S. economic policy, then we can expect prices to fall. Privately, they don’t call this price normalization or deflation. They call this a profit opportunity. Bet on the downside, then bet on the upside. Betting sure is fun when you control the outcome.








  30. H. Rider Haggard Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 7:48 pm

    Yesterday I stumbled across this September 1 piece on Zero Hedge: Are Existing Home Prices Overrepresented By Up To 40%? (http://www.zerohedge.com/article/are-existing-home-prices-overrepresented-40?source=patrick.net#inner-content).


    Briefly, it seems that realtors may have been systematically reporting full-listing-price sales prices for homes actually sold at lower auction prices.


    It’s news to me. Anyone else seen it?








  31. Maseratij Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 8:11 pm

    @franklin411 Here ! Here ! My brother, why wait. Let you and I start the arm that will control the hand that puts the blade to their necks. Selfish Baby boomers, the payment for your hubris is nigh! They have abandoned Civil Rights, Women’s Rights, and anything else they believed in the Summer of Love !


    Perhaps the media’s coverage of that small minority on the streets was the beginning of our myopic and pandering media jounalists we live with today. This generation never once made a tough decision, or stood by principle, liberty, or doing the “right’ thing. Why should we suffer for decades with their ruins ?


    Stand up and take back what they have stolen for their coiffures of greed.








  32. kaleberg Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 9:58 pm

    According to HUD the median single family house price in Q1 2010 was about $270K, and this was pretty stable. You can get a 30 year fixed rate mortgage at about 4.5%. That’s a monthly payment of $1,370 or $16,440 per year. The average hourly wage is about $19. That’s 865 hours a year. In the 1960s and 1970s, houses cost about 600 hours, but the price popped up to 800 hours in the 1980s and stayed there until the recent bubble. It was nearly 1,000 in 2005, but the real highs were in the late 1970s and early 1980s when interest rates soared. It now looks like prices are getting back in line with wages, especially if interest rates stay low.


    Unfortunately, not everyone has a job, so the effective hourly wage is lower, especially as employers continue to demand pay cuts and pass higher medical costs to employees. That cuts demand and further weakens prices. Who knows, we might see house prices drop to 600 hours a year yet.


    (It’s kind of silly looking at dollars when the actual equation most people use involves hours of work.)








  33. bman Says:



    September 6th, 2010 at 11:06 pm

    Maseratij,

    Yes I wondered about that sort of thing too, here we’ve had Neil Young formerly of Crosby Still Nash and Young, who sang so seemingly a heartfelt yarn about four dead in Ohio, who in later life still wealthy from royalties of earlier songs, he would write a song called “Let’s Roll” in the drum-up to war. They were called bums and hedonists back then and were told to get a job, I suppose maybe the old folks might have known what they were talking about.








  34. AGORACOM Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 6:12 am

    @franklin411 Says:


    @Justin

    Easy. Just look to American history.


    We used to have farm depressions every decade or so beginning in the 1870s. The worst farm depression in American history began in the 1920s, and it lasted until the New Deal. FDR instituted a program of price supports to stabilize the cycle of farm boom and bust, and we’ve been sticking to that program ever since.


    The result?


    We haven’t had a farm depression since then, and food is cheaper, more plentiful, and safer than at any point in human history.


    Easy.


    ————————


    @franklin411 – Farmers need support because they try to provide critical goods while being susceptible to forces beyond their control. I don’t want them to struggle for such reasons because it threatens food supply and safety. As such, they are a no brainer investment.


    OTOH, moronic real estate investors driven by greed, false mortgage apps and annual re-financing to pay off excessive credit card spending neither require nor deserve any such support.


    Regards,

    George








  35. rktbrkr Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 9:30 am

    The US has been subsidizing housing in various ways since the great depression. I guess stepping back from all these subsidies would be the simon pure solution, no tax deductions, no capital gains breaks on sales, no F&F, FHA, VA and other types of help. Take the big hit immediately, get it over with.


    Think about what happens if RE drops 80% from current levels. You’d get enormous numbers of walk aways, banks might not be willing to write any mortgages, home purchases would be all cash, peoples #1 asset vaporizes, the wealth effect goes in reverse in 5th gear.


    Every banks with extensive mortgages portfolios would be wiped out, if tough love is OK for borrowers then it should be appropriate for lenders too. All the efforts to avoid a full blown depression the past couple years reverses to a “bring it on” challenge to the markets.








  36. DeDude Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 12:18 pm

    Not a chance of any further support for housing. The original rationale for round one was to step in to avoid a panic with prices undershooting substantially and dragging the economy down (good politics, good policy). That was pretty much gone by the second round of housing rebates – but they passed anyway for political reasons (good politics, bad policy). At this time they would be outright harmful and unpopular (bad politics, very bad policy).








  37. Nuggz Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 12:35 pm

    “Letting the Housing Market Fall”?


    Be prepared to see many, many small to medium-sized community banks to become insolvent, overnight.


    Strategic defaulting will be the hot topic at every dinner table or Happy Meal. Whichever you may choose.








  38. formerlawyer Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 12:40 pm

    Before we get there, how do we define an “ideal” level of home ownership?


    Do we aim for Germany’s 42%? How about Australia’s 70%? Or Singapore’s 90%?

    (note: In Singapore this is on a 90 year lease basis see: http://www.smu.edu.sg/research/publications/pdf/SYPhang_OwnerOccupier.pdf)

    see generally:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Owner-occupier


    Does it vary from urban, to near-urban to rural areas?

    Does it vary based on the particular region?


    What laws and policies would be needed or not needed to result in such an “ideal” result?


    Or do we just let the mythical market decide?


    Markets are a product of laws and policies no less than any other social phenomena – so who decides?








  39. epupo Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 2:19 pm

    “This column reminds me of another great prognosticator who put his faith in a magic army of buyers to suddenly materialize and save the nation, Andrew Mellon. Herbert Hoover and the Republican Congress followed his advice in 1929 to “liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate.” ”


    To be fair and “balanced”, Mellon did not believe a huge army of buyers was coming. He believed that this liquidation should occur so that the system that arose from it would be free of the rot that had caused unsustainable stock market speculation in the first place.


    In fact that is something a lot of people (including Barry) have been arguing; rather than artificially holding up the “old world”, let it go and allow it to collapse on its own so a new system arises.








  40. epupo Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 2:25 pm

    “As Eugene Robinson points out in the Washington Post, we’re made of weaker stuff these days. I take it a step further and point to the Baby Boomers as the reason for America’s decline.”


    Calling the American people “a bunch of spoiled brats” is not likely to win many fans for the Democrats or any other political party.


    Furthermore the Baby Boomer generation could be argued as being one that was more liberal in their outlook; the Great Society programs came from the postwar generation of liberals who believed American could do anything.


    The issue people forget about the New Deal and the postwar boom is that the productive capacity of most of the rest of the world was blown to bits by WWII. The “buyers” you speak of came from that loss of production.


    I think the problem for policymakers today is how can you “replicate” that type of buying power is the rest of the world is essentially over-capacity as it stands now, in all sorts of things, real estate being one rather large example.








  41. epupo Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 2:31 pm

    “FDR instituted a program of price supports to stabilize the cycle of farm boom and bust, and we’ve been sticking to that program ever since.”


    He paid farmers to burn oversupply of certain crops to maintain price stability.


    I am all for destroying whole communities of empty houses and starting over rather than trying to force people to buy homes they clearly don’t want. Why doesn’t the government spend billions of dollars to simply destroy many of the homes that were built in the last decade that have little realistic chance of ever being inhabited?








  42. Nuggz Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 3:50 pm

    “Why doesn’t the government spend billions of dollars to simply destroy many of the homes that were built in the last decade that have little realistic chance of ever being inhabited?”


    Nuggz likes this.


    I just shake my head when I see acres of prime farmland get replaced by what some people call “homes”. I call them rat cages, but beauty is in the eye of the beholder I suppose.








  43. rvirmani Says:



    September 7th, 2010 at 5:00 pm

    While the message is correct, the TBTB seem to have planned this. The game is to crash the US Currency. If you allow house prices to fall, you will effectively remove more liquidity from the economy, as more and more households will effectively become underwater. This would further increase defaults, so yeah house prices should fall, but now is the worst possible time. Hence the NYT is now chaninging its tune. When was the last time that rag was on the side of market forces?


    “The purpose of this financial crisis is to take down the U.S. dollar as the stable datum of planetary finance and, in the midst of the resulting confusion, put in its place a Global Monetary Authority [GMA - run directly by international bankers freed of any government control] -a planetary financial control organization”- Bruce Wiseman












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From the Associated Press:



One in 10 American households with a mortgage was at risk of foreclosure this summer as the government’s efforts to help have had little impact stemming the housing crisis.


About 9.9 percent of homeowners had missed at least one mortgage payment as of June 30, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Thursday.


That number, which is adjusted for seasonal factors, was down slightly from a record-high of more than 10 percent as of April 30.


In a worrisome sign, the number of homeowners starting to have problems with their mortgages rose after trending downward last year. The number of homes in the foreclosure process fell slightly, the first drop in four years.



More than 2.3 million homes have been repossessed by lenders since the recession began in December 2007, according to foreclosure listing service RealtyTrac Inc. Economists expect the number of foreclosures to grow well into next year.


The number of Americans missing payments and falling into foreclosure has followed the upward trend in unemployment, which has been near double digits all year and has shown no sign of dropping soon.


“Ultimately the housing story, whether it is delinquencies, homes sales or housing starts, is an employment story,” Jay Brinkmann, the trade group’s top economist, said in a statement. “Only when we see a consistent increase in employment will we see an increase in sales and starts, and a sustained improvement in the delinquency numbers.”


Read the whole thing here.




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Thursday, September 2, 2010

foreclosure law


Problem: Want of truthful, complete, and accurate education is what causes opinions to become based more on hearsay and faulty conjecture. Over stimulation and mind-altering propaganda coupled with intellectual lethargy cause a want of intellectual power and acuity among "should-be" students, which subsequently leads to the contentment of being spoon-fed your own opinion by others rather than the active, fervent, and diligent search for truth that will truly set most of you free.


Solution: Force yourself, no matter how hard it seems to be, to truly think and cogitate by yourself, without the aid of others. Force yourself to form your own conclusions that are not altered or influenced by social acceptability. Remember, if you come across a nugget of irrefutable truth, and others persecute you for either discovering it, or speaking it, then you should really re-think where their motivation comes from. Darkness HATES the light.


Facts for you all to chew on:

1. It appears to be true that the phrase "sovereign citizen" has been used by individuals and groups who may or may not have "good" or "moral" intentions.

2. It also appears to be true that it is important to certain individuals and groups to ascribe and associate the words "sovereign citizen" and their meanings to individuals and/or groups who have a perceivable negative connotation about them.

3. No one here has asked why that is.

4. In 1913, the federal constitution was illegally and unconstitutionally amended by a de facto congress among highly suspicious circumstances to create the Federal Reserve Banking System. A central bank. An idea, made clear by their own writings to be abhorrent to the founding fathers and in no way by an authority granted by the People through the constitution. The word "bank" is nowhere to be found in the constitution. The writers knew of banks, knew of the word "bank," yet never included it in the constitution.

5. During the 1930s and 40s in particular, the congress, without authority, unconstitutionally granted essentially dictatorial authority and power to president in response to the dire circumstances created by the fraudulently initiated depression.

6. The depression was a direct result of the inflation/deflation caused by the very nature of the new banking system coupled with the market manipulation of the "elite" families of this country and their foreign friends.

7. In the 1930s, the president ordered the closing of banks (bank holiday). Private banks. Then he ordered the American People to surrender their gold, all of it except a very small amount (small jewelry).

8. The REAL money that the American People had used (gold & silver) since day one, was confiscated and replaced with FIAT paper money backed by debt/credit, not real valuable materials with inherent and stable value. Effectively and actually what was essentially done was Americans gave everything that gave them economic power, the private ownership of their own money, over to the PRIVATE owners of the "Federal" Reserve Bank. Which by the way is NOT OWNED OR OPERATED BY THE GOVERNMENT OF THE UNITED STATES. The assets (gold, silver, real property, present and future LABOR/productivity) of the American People were pledged to international bankers in return for practically UNLIMITED CREDIT.

9. Around the same time period, the common law (the law UNDER which the constitution was written) was being extinguished and replaced by equity law. (ROMAN CIVIL LAW). Despite the information speard around about the "common law" and despite what attorneys are taught in their 3 years at law school, the common law is the system of law that allows the people of a republic to remain as free as possible. It is inherently an adversarial system that applies "real world" concepts, logic, and reason to issues for resolution or settlement. Equity law is a fictitious law system that is like playing Monopoly and making your own rules, and enforcing those rules your way. Civil law allows government to have power, sometimes more power than the citizens. Common law leaves ALL OF THE POWER in the hands of the People. That is why according to the original constitution, the founding fathers acknowledged the common law as the supreme law and made SURE it was made available through the courts to the people in all cases.

10. The fictitious "law" that equity or civil law is, is a needed tool to make things legal that ought not to be legal. Under the common law, there shall be a remedy for every wrong. Under equity/civil, the government can make murder and theft "legal." And in civil law, if there is no "law" against it, it's not a crime.

11. Under this equity law system, the government been able to make "legal" many unlawful and wrong activities perpetrated by individuals, agencies, corporations, governments, etc. Keep in mind that statutes, codes, and regulations, are called such BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT LAWS.

12. The American people existed long before the constitution or the United States. The constitution does NOT create a true nation or country. That is why there is no governor or ruler of the U.S.

13. The constitution creates a trust (corporation). That is why it has a president, vp, secretary, and treasurer, LIKE ALL CORPORATIONS.

13. Logic: according to the constitution of each State (republic/country), the People ordained and established the governments to manage the interstate and international commerce, defense, etc. of and between the states. Does it say "we the citizens" ordain and establish....? Clearly, citizens are a different term and mean something different. The term "citizen of United States" is interestingly not specifically defined as different from the common meaning until the 14th amendment in 1868. They are specifically defined as persons being born or naturalized within the united States, AND subject to the jurisdiction of the United States. This is the first time it is seen that the Federal Government has created subjects to itself. The federal government cannot possibly have jurisdiction over the people, because the people created it and are "sovereign" in relation to it. This new "entity" called a citizen of the Unites States was created right at a time coincidentally, when African slaves were now freed by law. The government created this subject entity to be a "status" to put the newly freed slaves into, so the slaves would not have the full freedom and power that the People have enjoyed. While they were at it, it did not take long for the idea to catch on that the elite could also subjugate the People using this system. People consent to it all of the time up to the present day. "Are you a U.S. CITIZEN"......"Yes, of course."

14. The People own the government, created the government, and cannot be subject to government or any acts, or "laws" it passes or propagandizes. That is why, when a crime is committed against another or his property, the government may catch the criminal and bring him/her to the GRAND JURY for indictment and trial, not to a government employee JUDGE. Because the grand jury represents and is comprised of PEOPLE, not citizens. The State and/or Federal Government has NO AUTHORITY to , itself, prosecute one of the People. UNLESS YOU CONSENT TO IT. Next time you get a traffic ticket (victimless equity crime) and go to court to fight it, tell me what you see on the docket or caption. It will say, "STATE OF MISSOURI v. JOHN SMITH, defendant." You're listed as the defendant, why is the state not listed as plaintiff? The state will NEVER declare itself as a PLAINTIFF. BECAUSE THE STATE HAS NO STANDING. IT DOESN'T ACTUALLY EXIST FACTUALLY, AND IT'S NOT SOVEREIGN RELATIVE TO YOU.

15. That is also why "arraignment" exists. The people are all sovereign. Therefore, if the government in any way wishes to prosecute you or punish you for breaking one of it's rules, especially one that didn't involve an injured party (adversary), they need to secure your consent (whether you or your attorney know it or not) to proceed in a court NOT OF LAW, but of civil rule. By entering any plea in a court that is not a court of record, (look that term up in Black's 4th) (a court of record is your birth right in this country, and it is what protects you from government oppression and tyranny) you have consented to be prosecuted according to THEIR rules and by THEM. Usually at arraignment, you are asked by a JUDGE, "You are charged with violating section 1410.9 of the California Penal Code and Title 3 section 328 of the California General Statutes, do you plead guilty, not guilty, or nolo contendere?" What he is REALLY saying is, "Do you give up your full right to a court of record, and all of your common law rights, and all of your constitutionally secured rights, and your right to NOT be under our jurisdiction by agreeing that the statutes and codes I have cited are VALID by entering a plea of any kind? Or do you object to this star-chamber kangaroo court and wish to be brought to justice in the highest and fairest court in the land?"

16. We live in a REPUBLIC. Not a Democracy. If you plan to argue this, at least look up the legal definitions of each of these terms. My guess is you won't even find the definition of "republican form of government." In a republic (esp. the one to which you pledged your allegiance) the people are free and fully sovereign. The government exists solely as an agency to aid in the affairs of the people and has no legal authority to tread in any way on your rights FOR ANY REASON.

17. A democracy is a society in which either directly or through representation, the majority has all of the rights and power and can do whatever they want, while the minority have no rights but only privileges granted to them by the majority. Individual rights do not truly exist. If the majority thinks you're a waste of air, then you are executed and your property taken. This is half a step away from pure communism.

18. So generally, the common law is the people's only real protection against the government exceeding it's authority. So don't scoff at it. If you only knew what it really was and how to use it, you might shut your trap and begin suing officials and agents who are obviously grossly out of line. They can't get off on technicalities and b .s. in your court. The shift toward Roman Civil Law (Equity/Statutes) represents an effort by the elite to crush your opportunity to protect your rights lawfully, and to bring into existence a system in which fake money, fraud, and unlimited credit can exist "legally." Ever notice "lawful" and "legal" are used together in the same sentence in some of the statutes and codes and other instances. That's because they have different meanings. Find out what they are.

19. As far as this whole "strawman" idea. I can't speak to that very much because I have not tried it or used it. But, the concept is fairly simple, it's just so obvious yet antithetical to everything we all have been led to believe, that it is a hard sell. But again, in terms of fact and logic, an accessible "trust" system must exist in order to facilitate the unlimited credit that the people bought back in 1933/35, and their must be a strawman or other corporate entity attached to you because the simple fact is, that in the equity and fiat money systems, everything is fictitious, and only fictions can interact with fictions. Think of it like playing a board game. You must have a token that represents you and your position in the game. It's all a game.

20. Also, check out the Internal Revenue Code, Title 26 U.S.C. Section 7806. Read it carefully and look up definitions if you have to. Related, did you ever wonder why it's called a tax "return" when all you seem to be doing is "paying" taxes out?

21. In ending here, I just want to be clear that my only wish is for people to seek the truth and stop arguing and asserting views like schoolchildren. Search for FACTS and use your brain to reach logical conclusions on your own. Then compare those facts with what you believe, and be better off for it. Because KNOWLEDGE IS POWER. And "he who slumbers on his rights, has none." (paraphrased)





There's a lot of despair in these parts lately and it's perfectly understandable. The country is going to hell in a handbasket and the forces of corporatism and know-nothingism are dominating the political culture while the Democrats seem to be in a state of suspended animation. It's very tempting to just tune it all out and watch TV. But we can't. Not as long as there are progressive politicians like David Segal out there on the campaign trail fighting to change things every day. If don't support real progressive leaders with a track record of success, we are basically giving up.


David is running in a primary for the Democratic nomination for Patrick Kennedy's seat against two doctrinaire establishment hacks and an anti-choice zealot and he needs our help in the home stretch. (The election is September 14th.) His most formidable rival, the mayor of Providence is using his money advantage to run a deceptive ad and David needs our help to run this rebuttal to remind people who the real progressive in the race is:




I know it's hard to get excited about politics right now. But it would be foolish for us to fail to support a young, smart progressive with a proven track record in his run for congress. Unless we are prepared to simply surrender to the forces gathering around us we need to nurture future progressive leaders who understand this political environment and have ideas about how to prevail in it. David is one of those future leaders.


Here's what Howie wrote about him when Blue America endorsed him:


David Segal is one of us. He was elected to the Providence City Council in 2002 as a Green, and is now a lefty Democratic state Rep for Providence and East Providence. He has a very clear path to victory and he can win-- and if he does, he'll be among the strongest voices for progressives in the halls of the Capitol.


David's worked on the meat-and-potato issues: Jobs, the environment, housing, progressive taxes, all with success. He's successfully pushed for expanded renewable energy, more affordable housing, against predatory lending, and for foreclosure prevention measures.


But he's never shied away from the really controversial issues: He's been a vocal leader on criminal justice reform, standing up for the rights of immigrants and for gay rights, and has pushed as hard as one can from the state level against war spending. He's an ardent supporter of gay marriage, and was the sponsor of the last year's bill, which was passed over the Governor's veto, to allow gay partners to plan each other's funerals.


He's a co-sponsor of marijuana decriminalization, and just convinced the Governor-- after two years of vetoes-- to allow a bill to become law that ensures due process for people on probation.


He's sponsored the "Bring the Guard Home" legislation, and his first act on the City Council was to pass a resolution against the war in Iraq.


But, most importantly, he's an organizer at heart, who is committed to joining the Progressive Caucus-- and making it function better. Here's an excerpt from an interview with David:


"n Rhode Island I've tried to develop alternative structures for legislators to lean on when the leadership makes such threats. I am the lead organizer for our progressive caucus. I founded a political action committee to support members of our progressive caucus so that if funding from sources dries up at leadership's request because something was done to offend them, that we would have at least some, some degree of money to fall back on to help fund our campaigns nonetheless. We funded ten, twelve races relatively modestly in the last cycle and hopefully we'll be able to do something in the forthcoming cycle."


That's the kind of inside political organizing we desperately need in the US Congress. If you can help with a few dollars today the campaign can keep its ads on the air and compete. If he wins the primary, there's almost no doubt that he will win the seat. It could be one of the few progressive victories in this midterm election.




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Tuesday, July 27, 2010

foreclosure homes


RealtyTrac, as reported on Housing Wire, gave a gloomy update on the US housing market. RealtyTrac does granular collection of data on foreclosures, capturing every filing. One of the shortcomings of this approach is that processes vary by state (as in some state require more court filings over the course of a foreclosure than others). In addition, homes can go in and out of foreclosure (an owner gets the first notice, contacts the servicer and works out a catch-up plan, and later falls behind again). So the commentary of RealtyTrac and other market participants is essential in interpreting the data.


The key takeaway:


James Saccacio, CEO of RealtyTrac, said at the current pace, more than 3m properties will receive a foreclosure filing by the end of the year, and lenders will repossess more than 1m of them. According to a report from the Toronto-based Capital Economics, the weight of the shadow inventory may contribute to a double dip in the housing market. The report found that for every home currently on the market, two homes are waiting to be sold.


“The roller coaster pattern of foreclosure activity over the past 12 months demonstrates that while the foreclosure problem is being managed on the surface, a massive number of distressed properties and underwater loans continues to sit just below the surface, threatening the fragile stability of the housing market,” Saccacio said.


Yves here. The scary part here is this estimate of market overhang refers only to foreclosed and distressed property. There is another category of hidden inventory, people who would like to sell but aren’t even listing their houses. These would include people who want to relocate, aging individuals who’d like to downsize and had hoped to be able to liberate some equity.


More detail from HousingWire:


Foreclosure filings decreased 3% in June after another 3% drop in April. It’s the third straight month of declines. Foreclosure filings were down 7% from June 2009. Despite the recent downward swing, June marked the 16th straight month of more than 300,000 filings.


For the second quarter of 2010, foreclosures dropped 4% from Q110 and remained 1% above Q209. As default and auction notices fell, REOs increased 5% from the last quarter and 38% from Q209. It’s the most REOs measured in a quarter since RealtyTrac began publishing the reports in January 2005.


“The second quarter was a tale of two trends,” Saccacio said. “The pace of properties entering foreclosure slowed as lenders pre-empted or delayed foreclosure proceedings on delinquent properties with more aggressive short sale and loan modification initiatives. Meanwhile the pace of properties completing the foreclosure process through bank repossession quickened as lenders cleared out a backlog of distressed inventory delayed by foreclosure prevention efforts in 2009.”




Click on graph for larger image in new window.

This graph shows the Notices of Default (NOD) by year through 2009, and for the first half of 2010, in California from DataQuick.

Although the pace of filings has slowed, it is still very high by historical standards.

From DataQuick: California Mortgage Defaults Hit Three-Year Low; Foreclosures Rise

The number of California homes pushed into the formal foreclosure process between April and June dropped for the fifth consecutive quarter to the lowest level in three years. The declines were greatest in the most affordable areas, where foreclosure activity continues to fall from extremely high levels over the past two years, a real estate information service reported.

A total of 70,051 Notices of Default ("NODs") were filed at county recorder offices during the April-to-June period. That was down 13.6 percent from 81,054 for the prior quarter, and down 43.8 percent from 124,562 in second-quarter 2009, according to San Diego-based MDA DataQuick.

Last quarter's total was the lowest since second-quarter 2007, when 53,943 NODs were recorded. The peak was in first-quarter 2009 when 135,431 homeowners received foreclosure notices.

"Obviously, motivated sellers and accommodating lenders have played a part in bringing the default filings down, especially when it comes to short sales. Public policy has also been a factor. We also need to remember that prices have come up off bottom over the past year. If they continue to rise, fewer homeowners will find themselves under water, which is a significant factor in letting a home go," said John Walsh, DataQuick president.
...
The number of Trustees Deeds (TDs) recorded, which reflect the number of houses or condo units lost at the end of the foreclosure process, totaled 47,669 during the second quarter. That was up 11.2 percent from 42,857 for the prior quarter, and up 4.4 percent from 45,667 for second-quarter 2009. The all-time peak was 79,511 in third- quarter 2008.
As I've noted before, in terms of new NOD filings the peak was probably in 2009. A few key points:

  • Because of the number of homes in the foreclosure pipeline, the number of distressed sales (foreclosures and short sales) will probably increase throughout 2010 - even as NODs decline.

  • As prices fall later this year, we might see another pick up in NODs.

  • Although NODs will decline in 2010 from 2009, the number will still be very high. The number of filings in the first half alone is at the peak of the previous housing bust.



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    App review: BBC <b>News</b> on iPad &amp; iPhone | Econsultancy

    Despite concerns expressed by commercial rivals, the BBC's first iPhone and iPad apps were released last week, with BBC News the first release.

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    Sol Campbell, Javier Mascherano, Mario Balotelli and Manuel Almunia feature on today's Football Spy Show.

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    The two investigations by the European Commission surround alleged abuse of the company's dominant market position in the mainframe market. Read this blog post by Sam Diaz on Business Tech.



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    Sol Campbell, Javier Mascherano, Mario Balotelli and Manuel Almunia feature on today's Football Spy Show.

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  • Thursday, July 15, 2010

    foreclosure statistics






    Join the Discussion


    4 Comments









    • Note: the video is not showing on iPad.

      Any chance of an alternative format (I assume the one on the page is in Flash)?

      Thx.


      Posted by readerOfTeaLeaves | July 9th, 2010 at 11:03 pm











    • Parents, Education, & Symptoms


      Parents have got to get in the game, if they want to continue participating. The education system is an abject failure. It has to be replaced, and the tool is there to do it. Parents do not require permission from government or multinational corporations. Uncontrolled multinational growth is a function of community failure.


      Of course the multinationals want nations, states, communities and individuals competing against each other; their controlling interests naturally breed on control. Of course they pay the economists to argue that competition is the be all and end all. On the one hand parents are competing in a system designed to ensure they lose, and on the other they attempt to give their own children a comparative advantage over other kids, locking failure in for the community.


      The best thing parents can do is build strong, independent communities, so all kids can be successful. In net, parents are isolating their children into a competition with the multinationals, while their own governments are offering them a near-term profit to dissolve their families, paid for by the multinationals, which the governments are competing for, by giving them your money, your property, your taxes, and your ideas. And what makes it all work is parents competing to get in their cars and go shopping to feed the multinationals.


      Economies are self-correcting. Multinationals cannot change their behavior. They destroy their own food chain, new families, by economic design. The multinationals are writing the laws, to which parents are subjected, and to which the multinationals are exempted, in a political system paid for by the parents. If the community is simply an extension of the State, the system may only liquidate. A constitution is designed to protect the State from itself. Only a community can protect liberty, and liberty is the path to the future.


      Much of America is a victim of its own success. The multinationals have grown alongside strong communities. GDP measures consumption cost. It in no way measures investment or profit. The multinationals are simply a looking glass, and what parents see is what they want to see. Politicians tell parents whatever they want to hear, largely that the problem is government or corporate.


      Yes. The more you shop, the longer it will take for the machine to target you, but the machine has caught up to everyone now. An American flag does not make a multinational American. Because some communities choose to be fat, dumb, and lazy in no way limits other communities. Liberty is not subject to majority vote. If a majority jumps off a bridge, will you?


      Anything is fixable, if the right people are in charge. In this case, the parents have to take charge of the economy. There is always a reservoir of goodwill for children somewhere. When you have ruled everything else out, what remains, no matter how improbable, is the solution. Not so ironically, Barack Obama was a community organizer.


      So long as those cleats hold onto the bank, and you have a good strong rope of small businesses, we’ll pick that $500T load.


      Right now, your problem is RICO organization of multinationals through every level of government to preempt participation by small family businesses, to backfill the economy.


      Posted by kevinearick | July 10th, 2010 at 4:26 pm











    • @readerOfTeaLeaves Unfortunately the video we embedded is from GRIT’s site, and they put it up in flash, so there’s not much we can do. Sorry I can’t be of more help!


      Posted by Bryce | July 12th, 2010 at 10:57 am











    • Thanks Bryce. I came back and viewed it on a ‘not-an-iPad’, but appreciate your explanation.


      Posted by readerOfTeaLeaves | July 12th, 2010 at 5:41 pm












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    Join the Discussion


    4 Comments









    • Note: the video is not showing on iPad.

      Any chance of an alternative format (I assume the one on the page is in Flash)?

      Thx.


      Posted by readerOfTeaLeaves | July 9th, 2010 at 11:03 pm











    • Parents, Education, & Symptoms


      Parents have got to get in the game, if they want to continue participating. The education system is an abject failure. It has to be replaced, and the tool is there to do it. Parents do not require permission from government or multinational corporations. Uncontrolled multinational growth is a function of community failure.


      Of course the multinationals want nations, states, communities and individuals competing against each other; their controlling interests naturally breed on control. Of course they pay the economists to argue that competition is the be all and end all. On the one hand parents are competing in a system designed to ensure they lose, and on the other they attempt to give their own children a comparative advantage over other kids, locking failure in for the community.


      The best thing parents can do is build strong, independent communities, so all kids can be successful. In net, parents are isolating their children into a competition with the multinationals, while their own governments are offering them a near-term profit to dissolve their families, paid for by the multinationals, which the governments are competing for, by giving them your money, your property, your taxes, and your ideas. And what makes it all work is parents competing to get in their cars and go shopping to feed the multinationals.


      Economies are self-correcting. Multinationals cannot change their behavior. They destroy their own food chain, new families, by economic design. The multinationals are writing the laws, to which parents are subjected, and to which the multinationals are exempted, in a political system paid for by the parents. If the community is simply an extension of the State, the system may only liquidate. A constitution is designed to protect the State from itself. Only a community can protect liberty, and liberty is the path to the future.


      Much of America is a victim of its own success. The multinationals have grown alongside strong communities. GDP measures consumption cost. It in no way measures investment or profit. The multinationals are simply a looking glass, and what parents see is what they want to see. Politicians tell parents whatever they want to hear, largely that the problem is government or corporate.


      Yes. The more you shop, the longer it will take for the machine to target you, but the machine has caught up to everyone now. An American flag does not make a multinational American. Because some communities choose to be fat, dumb, and lazy in no way limits other communities. Liberty is not subject to majority vote. If a majority jumps off a bridge, will you?


      Anything is fixable, if the right people are in charge. In this case, the parents have to take charge of the economy. There is always a reservoir of goodwill for children somewhere. When you have ruled everything else out, what remains, no matter how improbable, is the solution. Not so ironically, Barack Obama was a community organizer.


      So long as those cleats hold onto the bank, and you have a good strong rope of small businesses, we’ll pick that $500T load.


      Right now, your problem is RICO organization of multinationals through every level of government to preempt participation by small family businesses, to backfill the economy.


      Posted by kevinearick | July 10th, 2010 at 4:26 pm











    • @readerOfTeaLeaves Unfortunately the video we embedded is from GRIT’s site, and they put it up in flash, so there’s not much we can do. Sorry I can’t be of more help!


      Posted by Bryce | July 12th, 2010 at 10:57 am











    • Thanks Bryce. I came back and viewed it on a ‘not-an-iPad’, but appreciate your explanation.


      Posted by readerOfTeaLeaves | July 12th, 2010 at 5:41 pm












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    AVP console patches &quot;scrapped&quot; <b>News</b> - Page 1 | Eurogamer.net

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    An Obama Administration Job for Sen. Specter? - Political Punch

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    Friday, July 9, 2010

    Buying Investments Online



    Roundup, deals, VC


    RevenueLoan Pushes New Funding Model, Tippr Expands in Group Buying, Microsoft and Google Lure Startups, & More Seattle-Area Deals News




    Gregory T. Huang 6/8/10

    OK, things have started to pick up in terms of deals news around the Northwest. This week was headlined by the activities of a trio of well-known characters in the Seattle tech scene.


    —Xconomy had an exclusive in-depth interview with entrepreneur Andy Sack about his new company, RevenueLoan, which has raised $6 million from Voyager Capital, Summit Capital, and Founder’s Co-op. The idea is to make “revenue-based” investments in mostly tech startups. That means instead of taking an equity stake in a company, RevenueLoan will get paid a percentage of the company’s future revenues up to a certain multiplier of its investment (typically 3-5x). I first wrote about this investment model, and how it could shake up the VC ecosystem, last fall.


    —Seattle-based BigDoor Media, the Internet startup run by Keith Smith and Jeff Malek, raised $5 million in Series B funding led by Boulder, CO-based Foundry Group. BigDoor has developed a software platform that lets Web publishers add videogame-like mechanics to their sites—things like reward points, leader boards, and virtual goods and currencies—with the goal of boosting traffic and revenues. It’s all part of an increasing trend towards “gamification” of the Web, as led by companies like Zynga and Foursquare.


    —Seattle-based Tippr.com, the online group-buying site led by Martin Tobias, acquired Chitown Deals, based in Chicago, for an undisclosed amount. Tippr is now active in 10 cities around the U.S. including Chicago, the hometown of deal-of-the-day giant Groupon. Tippr rolled out its website in February, after acquiring the patent portfolio of Mercata, a former dot-com backed by Paul Allen’s Vulcan Capital.


    —Not exactly deals per se, but it’s interesting to note that Microsoft and Google are appealing to tech startups and developers in new ways. Bing Maps is providing a software development kit for startups to build location-based applications on top of its maps. Meanwhile, the Google Apps Marketplace added another Seattle-area company’s software to its list of offerings. Napera Networks, which makes network management and security software for businesses, earned that distincition from Google.



    Gregory T. Huang is Xconomy's National IT Editor and the Editor of Xconomy Boston. You can e-mail him at gthuang@xconomy.com, call 206-624-2249, or follow him at twitter.com/gthuang.





    Roundup, deals, VC


    RevenueLoan Pushes New Funding Model, Tippr Expands in Group Buying, Microsoft and Google Lure Startups, & More Seattle-Area Deals News




    Gregory T. Huang 6/8/10

    OK, things have started to pick up in terms of deals news around the Northwest. This week was headlined by the activities of a trio of well-known characters in the Seattle tech scene.


    —Xconomy had an exclusive in-depth interview with entrepreneur Andy Sack about his new company, RevenueLoan, which has raised $6 million from Voyager Capital, Summit Capital, and Founder’s Co-op. The idea is to make “revenue-based” investments in mostly tech startups. That means instead of taking an equity stake in a company, RevenueLoan will get paid a percentage of the company’s future revenues up to a certain multiplier of its investment (typically 3-5x). I first wrote about this investment model, and how it could shake up the VC ecosystem, last fall.


    —Seattle-based BigDoor Media, the Internet startup run by Keith Smith and Jeff Malek, raised $5 million in Series B funding led by Boulder, CO-based Foundry Group. BigDoor has developed a software platform that lets Web publishers add videogame-like mechanics to their sites—things like reward points, leader boards, and virtual goods and currencies—with the goal of boosting traffic and revenues. It’s all part of an increasing trend towards “gamification” of the Web, as led by companies like Zynga and Foursquare.


    —Seattle-based Tippr.com, the online group-buying site led by Martin Tobias, acquired Chitown Deals, based in Chicago, for an undisclosed amount. Tippr is now active in 10 cities around the U.S. including Chicago, the hometown of deal-of-the-day giant Groupon. Tippr rolled out its website in February, after acquiring the patent portfolio of Mercata, a former dot-com backed by Paul Allen’s Vulcan Capital.


    —Not exactly deals per se, but it’s interesting to note that Microsoft and Google are appealing to tech startups and developers in new ways. Bing Maps is providing a software development kit for startups to build location-based applications on top of its maps. Meanwhile, the Google Apps Marketplace added another Seattle-area company’s software to its list of offerings. Napera Networks, which makes network management and security software for businesses, earned that distincition from Google.



    Gregory T. Huang is Xconomy's National IT Editor and the Editor of Xconomy Boston. You can e-mail him at gthuang@xconomy.com, call 206-624-2249, or follow him at twitter.com/gthuang.




    Mike Fuljenz Mike Fuljenz

    what exists beyond the frame by Kasarn Designs


























    Friday, July 2, 2010

    foreclosure law

    I have not contributed much to the Moderate Voice during 2010 while I actively posted numerous submissions during 2009. This is due to a variety of factors that some TMV contributors and readers might understand and others may simply dismiss as just worthless excuses.


    Throughout 2010, I have continued to read TMV once a day, sometimes dropping by twice as it adds new posts far more frequently than all other major Internet blogs. I really enjoy the many excellent contributions of current bloggers and editors. I constantly tell friends and acquaintances to read TMV as a great alternative to the generally biased, ignorant, and worthless crap incessantly emanating from most other Internet sources. The new commentary system also works well and the reader comments are really worth digesting.


    Over the past 6 months, I have started a number of posts and abandoned them because other TMV contributors have written similar and much better articles, printing them as I still labor to finish mine while scrambling on a few part-time contract assignments that might generate some measly income. I am not a journalist so I do not possess that talent or drive to write frequently or even that well.


    I have spent most of my life writing but 90% of my work has been dedicated to business and legal memoranda, contract drafting, creating business plans, making governmental applications and responses to regulatory, tax and zoning issues, legal briefs and court filings, and a variety of complex business and legal correspondences on many subjects. I could churn out those “babies” quite rapidly when the prospect of continuing or future financial compensation was involved. My pro bono assistance to some home owners with mortgage and foreclosure issues has not generated any referrals.


    Internet blogging is not my strong suit. Some friends and acquaintances have recommended that I also try writing some novels, but decent character and plot development appears to be beyond my abilities. Two longer literary works lay around incomplete and garbled in various computer files. Besides, there have been published millions of literary works by far better writers, all of which can be found all over the Internet and in our bookstores and libraries. One can easily choke on all the cooking books out there today. Its disappointing to realize that my limited past contributions have been pretty useless even when cross-posted on other well-known blogs. I appear to be a prolific “writer” who in reality simply can’t write.


    For the second time during my family’s 5-year residence in Arizona, we are being forced to move due to our landlord’s impending foreclosure. Fortunately Federal Public Law 111-22, effective 5/20/09, requires that all tenants receive 90-day’s notice to leave their rented premises from any owner, bank or trustee involved in a mortgage foreclosure, whether they are on a lease or on a month-to-month tenancy. We’re trying to get out of our current digs in less than half that time because the condominium complex is half empty and is no longer being well maintained.


    I have nothing against our landlords but they were and are so under water financially with respect to their mortgages and current property values, they really have no sane alternatives. Legally, I can push the envelope to stay put over a longer period of time but our 11-year-old son starts the 6th Grade in Mid August, so what’s the point in fighting to stay in a place that we need to eventually leave? Of course there are additional financial burdens and logistic problems with moving. But in this depressed economy, those are probably not worth complaining about.


    I am now on the free-fall toward personal oblivion that occurs to each of us who pass 50 years on this planet. I did not anticipate being in such a miserable financial state a decade ago.


    When I complained about the national and global economic mess destroying so many lives in all age groups, two lucky arrogant imbeciles told me that my current plight and those of most individuals are solely our own faults and that we should not look to blame big business, casino banks and financial institutions, “laissez-faire” government, and the complete unleashing of sociopaths during the past 30 years. We should instead blame godless liberals, illegal immigrants, gays, and other lazy minorities for some of the nation’s ills. Overall they told me that I am a whiny socialist who cannot accept my divinely-assigned lot in life.


    Naturally I slugged both of these commentators in the stomach and face and yelled a few choice profanities. I really felt better for a few days. I’m a small person and they were much larger individuals, so they fortunately felt nothing physically. I don’t worry about any civil lawsuits for assault though I would enjoy the ruckus I could cause in any Arizona courtroom, not being licensed here. However, writing on TMV, I cannot recommend others engaging in such wacko and uninhibited behavior.


    Fortunately my spouse is working full-time and her income covers most all our basic living expenses. She also has a small 401K plan and health insurance for herself and our son. It’s not easy living on net income of around $2,000 a month but it can be done.


    I have gone without any meaningful or affordable health insurance for many years. What I have purchased in the past has only been for catastrophic coverage with huge annual deductibles. It’s hard enough financially covering occasional physician visits and medications that fall well below the annual deductible. Others tell me that I am lucky to be generally healthy at my advanced age (50) and that I only require only 2 inexpensive pills to control my high blood pressure.


    If I really get sick, I’ll do it on the public dole so the rest of you insured people pick up the tab because I won’t and can’t. Otherwise the U.S. medical industrial complex will simply refuse to assist me unless I come up with money up front. Well we all have to go sometime and my death panel is the quintessential American Capitalist system based upon ability to pay. Since I am not wealthy and not making a lot of money now, I’m really not worth anything to our society. Healthcare reform did not really tackle our bloated, wasteful health system that principally caters to wealthy hypochondriacs.


    Over the past year, my small group of wary and sometimes frightened business clients has produced only sporadic work in any given month. Various marketing efforts to other shrinking or stagnating local small enterprises have not proven fruitful. The Phoenix prosperity since 2000 was principally based upon “growth” and when that stopped, so did the overall economy. Endless “job” searches, networking socials, or contract work applications in response to Internet research on various companies, job boards, Craigslist and other sources, have not garnered anything but a few dead-end interviews.


    To state the obvious, I join many Americans in an overall sour mood towards our long-mismanaged economy. I have no interest commiserating with a bunch of out-of-work independent contractors and consultants who are as clueless as I am about what to do next. Most of the people inside companies with the authority to make contracts, buy things and services, hire people, and make decisions are no where to be found near any networking groups. I believe our weak economy is actually in the short-term “eye” of the proverbial hurricane, with a lot more permanent danger, wreckage, excitement and disaster coming over the next 2 to 10 years.


    Our country has degenerated into a perverted crony capitalist system dominated by a corrupt oligarchy propped up by an Ivy League “meritocracy” that exists on paper only. Those people born into the right families, with the right schooling, networks, friends, and luck are successful financially in the American economy – even if they are wholly ignorant and incompetent. All those anecdotal “evidence” on a few success stories are merely ruses to keep Americans believing in worthless myths about our bankrupt “capitalist” system.


    Our oligarchs, business and political leaders are continuously rewarded themselves for greater and greater failures merely because they are on top of our warped and bankrupt economic system. Other successful players in the U.S. economy have chosen crime, gambling and other unregulated activities. I am trying to discover my inner sociopath as I see most successful businesses today being based upon screwing others as quickly as possible, and then disappearing and starting the next short-term scam. Of course, this is only possible in our completely “unregulated” free-enterprise system. Anyone who believes that our economic and political systems are the best in the world is a complete moron.


    Our society and economy no longer value or reward those who try to provide worthwhile goods and services to others. Because those with the power in government and our private sector to determine and influence national economic and political decisions are so out of touch with reality, greedy, narcissistic and sociopathic; I hold little hope for this country or even this planet’s long-term future. Our country and people cannot come up with a rationale set of priorities, and balance between competing interests. Some readers may argue with these basic premises, but most facts stubbornly point to my dismal conclusions.


    Certainly the lack of any meaningful progress on any domestic or international issues, plus the continuing massive oil gush in the Gulf does not make me a “Happy Camper” during 2010 I have watched this country become consumed by various intellectual cancers: Ignorance, fear, anger, selfishness, extreme political, social and religious polarization, the rise of extremist views, and the overall sense that we as a nation can no longer accomplish anything except yell endless and mindless rants at each other.


    TMV has a group of writers and editors that vainly try to speak rationally and sensibly, but compared to the 24/7 din or our superficial media and national obsessions with celebrities and useless new electronic gadgets, does anything matter any more?


    To say the least, I’m in a deep funk and depression – all of which is my own damn fault according to some experts. I used to climb out by focusing on bigger issues than those plaguing me, or on other people rather than contemplating myself. Those tactics have not been working for me anymore. I’m not too sure what to do with the few decades I have left on this planet.


    I have no interest in doing volunteer work – the ruse of the American right to get Americans to work for free. There are no valuable connections to be made in such work, nor will it ever turn into even modestly paid work at some future date. That’s simply not a viable option when one needs to make some money to survive. Those who propose such pointless alternatives to solve massive national unemployment and under-employment also deserve to be punched in the face.


    Now our nation’s arrogant oligarchs and cluelss pundits are preaching miserly governmental fiscal policies as their “recession” has ended. When will the private sector ever grow again – only if it gets more tax cuts and subsidies? It has become more important to constantly worship and serve the gods of our bond and equity markets over the real lives of tens of millions of Americans and their families. What kind of convoluted and short-sighted thought process came up with such stupidity?


    My views on all types of political, social and economic issues have been radicalized over the past 10 years and particularly during the past 6 months. This country might need an updated 1789 French Revolution “cleansing” of its powerful political and wealthy economic classes. However, they have successful convinced the masses to get angry at all the other small and powerless groups in the country, based upon all types of useless distinctions, but that has successfully deflected where the real anger should be directed.


    The only thing that matters in the U.S. today is the huge and obscene disparity in wealth and income between the top 10% and the rest of the country. Until that is radically altered by any means possible, nothing will improve. I no longer consider myself to be a “moderate.” Thus my frequent contributions to TMV might be counter-productive and unwanted by the editorial staff.


    I think there no longer exists any rational middle or center left in this country. The choices we face are simply incompatible and cancel each other out completely. This extreme polarization will necessitate a long-needed political and economic split of this country into many post-empire self-sustaining pieces. Our 18th Century Constitution and similar mindsets of many Americans are hopelessly outdated for the 21st Century realities.


    I hope the end of the American experiment comes sooner rather than later. The baby boomers and my nameless generation currently in power deserve to reap what we have sown during our destructive, greedy, narcissistic short-sighted and worthless lifetimes. Great empires commit suicide from within and our country is rapidly moving towards such a complete collapse. I am really having trouble giving a damn anymore about this country or anyone living in it.


    Marc Pascal, fed up and still ranting in Phoenix, AZ



    Last week I mentioned the potential law change in California: Under California law, purchase money loans are non-recourse. However once a homeowner refinances, the entire mortgage is recourse ... that is probably going to change ...

    Note: This bill, if passed, will take effect June 1, 2011. Here is the proposed bill (ht pastafarian)

    From David Streitfeld at the NY Times: Battles in California Over Mortgages

    Lenders in California rarely chase foreclosed borrowers for deficiency judgments. Pursuing such cases in court can be an arduous process, and few of those in foreclosure have the assets or incomes to make it worthwhile.

    But the threat of such action can come in handy for lenders, servicers and collection agencies. By raising the possibility of a court fight, they can negotiate favorable terms when agreeing to loan modifications and workouts, surrenders of deeds and sales for less than the full amount owed, also known as short sales.

    “Using the threat of a deficiency, full-recourse lenders often prevail upon distressed borrowers to sign new, unsecured obligations in exchange for their assent to a proposed short sale or surrender of a deed,” said William A. Markham, a lawyer with Maldonado & Markham in San Diego. “This practice will nearly vanish overnight if the new measure becomes law.”
    There is much more in the article. Of course the bankers are fighting to make this apply only to new loans after June 2011. The realtors are fighting to make it apply to current loans ...



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